I try reply to all pandemic-related DM's.

Joined April 2018
I came across an old article. A relative of a Welsh woman who died in 1966 was launching a campaign, ultimately hoping more people in Wales would know her name. Don't think I've many Welsh followers but I would like people in Ireland to know her name. /1
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I'll do a recap of how June went with Covid in Ireland and how it compares to recent Omicron waves. The figures suggest this BA.5 wave is much less-worse than the BA.1 and BA.2 waves that preceded it, whether that lasts is another matter. So far, it's going a lot better 🤷‍♂️/1
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BA.1 wave, January, 2022: Hospital admissions: 3,712 ICU admissions: 194 BA.2 wave, March, 2022: Hospital admissions: 4,955 ICU admissions: 158 BA.5 wave, June, 2022: Hospital admissions: 2,372 ICU admissions: 78
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It's worth noting that around 50% - 55% of admissions in June were asymptomatic-potentially-infectious ("incidental"). That's not just in Ireland, that's occurring across highly vaccinated/boosted countries in Europe and globally.
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BA.2 wave was twice as bad as this BA.5 one, so far. Maybe the timing of that BA.2 wave was unfortunate, as it was in the gap between 1st booster doses waning and 2nd booster doses being rolled out. Whatever the reason, this wave is seeing a lot less severe illness.
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Covid ICU admissions: November (2021): 227 January (2022): 194 [BA.1] December (2021): 191 October (2021): 182 March (2022): 158 [BA.2] April (2022): 134 September (2022): 134 August (2022): 127 February (2022): 90 ***June (2022)***: 78 [BA.5] May (2022): 55 July (2021): 47
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There's 2 stupid typos in this tweet. I meant August and September, 2021, people will know what I meant given it's June but still irritating.
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I'll do a recap of how June went with Covid in Ireland and how it compares to recent Omicron waves. The figures suggest this BA.5 wave is much less-worse than the BA.1 and BA.2 waves that preceded it, whether that lasts is another matter. So far, it's going a lot better 🤷‍♂️/1
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BA.1 wave, January, 2022: Hospital admissions: 3,712 ICU admissions: 194 BA.2 wave, March, 2022: Hospital admissions: 4,955 ICU admissions: 158 BA.5 wave, June, 2022: Hospital admissions: 2,372 ICU admissions: 78
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It's worth noting that around 50% - 55% of admissions in June were asymptomatic-potentially-infectious ("incidental"). That's not just in Ireland, that's occurring across highly vaccinated/boosted countries in Europe and globally.
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BA.2 wave was twice as bad as this BA.5 one, so far. Maybe the timing of that BA.2 wave was unfortunate, as it was in the gap between 1st booster doses waning and 2nd booster doses being rolled out. Whatever the reason, this wave is seeing a lot less severe illness.
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Covid ICU admissions: November (2021): 227 January (2022): 194 [BA.1] December (2021): 191 October (2021): 182 March (2022): 158 [BA.2] April (2022): 134 September (2022): 134 August (2022): 127 February (2022): 90 ***June (2022)***: 78 [BA.5] May (2022): 55 July (2021): 47
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Covid ICU patients invasively ventilated at the end of the month, in the last 8 months. November 30th: 86 December 31st: 58 January 31st: 44 [BA.1] February 28th: 23 March 31st: 23 [BA.2] April 30th: 18 May 31st: 14 ***June 30th***: 12 [BA.5] It's at 1/7th level of November.
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The main reasons for the sustained decline in Covid patients requiring invasive ventilation: -Transition from Delta to Omicron, last December -Booster rollouts That combination seems largely behind the stark improvements in the most severe illness, within hospitals.
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Covid deaths, by date of death: January: 312 February: 222 March: 320 April: 336 May: 108 June: 41 Both May & June are more prone to upward revision, as late notifications come through, but both will remain by far the lowest deaths of 2022. Page 5 - hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coro…
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Overall this wave is the least worst of the 3 Omicron waves, so far. It looks to me like a hospital peak will come soon and it should be a much lower peak than BA.2 (1,624 in hospital). It could yet go downhill but there's no clear and obvious signs it's going to do that. 🤞
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That mindset can get you killed, with Covid. If you're only showing up in hospital when your oxygen saturation is through the floor, you're probably going to die - and soon. At best you'll spend weeks/months in ICU and never be quite the same, for a long time, if ever again.
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This isn't all old people involved, nor is it just people with underlying conditions. And to repeat this report only discusses 315 treated in ICU for Covid in the last 6 months. It doesn't discuss ~400 admitted primarily for another reason, where Covid was deemed incidental.
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Covid ICU admissions, primarily for Covid, December 19th, 2021 to June 25th, 2022, outcome was known: 15-44 years old (45): Discharged alive: 40 Died: 5 45-54 years old (43): Discharged alive: 27 Died: 16 88 families worried sick and 21 families heartbroken, right there ^
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46 out of 314* patients admitted to ICU had no underlying conditions. And the most common underlying conditions of people admitted, some are pretty common: 1. High blood pressure 2. Respiratory Disease e.g. COPD, Asthma 3. Heart Disease 4. Cancer 5. Type 2 Diabetes *1 unknown
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Earlier in the pandemic in 2020, there was a study in Sweden. It put the risk of dying from Covid *4 times higher* for patients admitted to ICU directly from the Emergency Department. ICU admissions from wards had far higher survival rates.
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It's difficult to say if that exact disparity holds up in the vaccine and booster era. It's very easy to say an early diagnosis and treatment is much superior to showing up in hospital when you're almost already beyond saving. I don't understand what these people are thinking.
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Don't be a fool with your health. If your breathing is deteriorating don't turn on Netflix and spend the weekend in bed, hoping for the best or waiting for the worst. Go see a doctor, go straight to hospital, get help. Definitely do something other than 'die for nothing'.
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In recent weeks, close to a quarter of Covid patients admitted to ICU were unvaccinated. It's running around 23% in June, gauging it from the CMO's Epidemiological Updates. Despite representing a tiny % of the population, they continue to be massively over-represented in ICU.
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I keep thinking about Joe in Letterkenny and the state he was in, listening to those anti-vax clowns. He was one who made the news. Looking at these figures I'm sure there's others making similar fatal mistakes. Anyone telling you Covid is harmless, is talking pure shite.
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Vaccines work well to protect against severe illness, get vaccinated 🙏 Regardless, seek medical help if your symptoms worsen and do it early, while they can help you. The work done in Irish hospitals during the pandemic has been brilliant, you'll be in good hands.
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