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Historian and Rancher

San Joaquin, Bolivia
Joined March 2020
Much of my work is more "military" than strategic and thus requires tactical and operational analysis before one can consider the theater level & finally grand strategy. But the technical level also counts, for which I must rely on experts: invidious.fdn.fr/watch?v=zKFgFq0i…
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Mentre il mondo applaudiva l'eco-Germania di Merkel (no nucleare, no gas shale.panelli solari senza il sole.) i Tedeschi silenziosamente bruciavano e bruciano lignite, peggio del carbone nero. L'Italia has seguito la Merkel ma non ha lignite da bruciare dietro le quinte.
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In Italy the energy crisis is acute. The weather is helpful (global warning's ignored plus) yet heating costs are soaring. Having also closed nuclear power stations refused to drill for gas, refused regasification plants the Germans quietly burn lignite worst coal. Italy has none
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The Ukraine has destroyed or captured many Russian tanks & other armored vehicles, some new but most from Soviet days; also its stock of tactical missiles is much depleted. Production lines are being re-activated and also the covert buyers of needed electronic & other components
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The U of California Berkeley is so "diverse" that only 20% of the students are described as White. But the diversity Vice Chancellor's large bureaucracy seeks more employees. Now the fight has shifted to graduation rates & the obstacle: Profs who refuse to lower standards. Out !
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World watches China & Iran passively like tourists watching a vulcano. But Govts could do something: provide information to Chinese & Iranians about what is going in their country that they do not know. There are intercepts & there are sat photos of security forces ...
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Re today NY Times attack on the Musee de L'Homme top source of inspiration for artists,of hard data for scholars. They have 18,000 human skulls ! Some from colonial battles ! But: they would not exist if not in Paris. Restitution ! But"restituted"bronzes already stolen on sale !
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Ie. more nonsense as per China's "hypersonic" missiles, meant "to deliver nuclear strikes from unexpected approaches to defeat ABM [ie. ballistic missile defenses]. Yes v useful, terribly useful if somebody (China ?) first provides the US with ABM protection. It has none
What China thinks the X-37B is - an orbital bombardment vehicle meant to deliver nuclear strikes from unexpected approaches to defeat ABM systems.
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La grande bugia dei filo-Cinesi Italiani (molti dei quali vanno in Cina con la mano tesa) non e' che Xi Jinping e' il Partito sono brava gente, ma che i Cinesi fanno favori commerciali a chi si piega sui diritti umani e puniscono chi li critica.Falso: solo prezzi/qualita' contano
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Domanda: perche' la TV e' a Sinistra ? Voce saggia: "fanno sistema. Si aiutano con incarichi, inviti, piaceri e cortesie. Si sostengono l’un l’altro, ripetendosi di essere sempre e comunque i migliori. Anche se le sbagliano tutte. E sperano sempre nel Nume tutelare al Quirinale"
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Netanyahu is certainly a right winger, but very moderate as compared to Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, who spurned Begin's Irgun as too soft and served as a Lehi fighter, and Begin himself, a true Revisionist. Each time great disasters were predicted but the country kept growing
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Am almost amused by the hysterical reactions of columnists and commentators at the advent of a Netanyahu government. Yes it is true Palestinian peace plans would not get a hearing, but then again none have ever been proferred, not once. Peace lovers should solicit at least one
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Western governments are watching Iran with the equiovalent of oohs and aahs but zero action. Where are the 24/7 broadcasts in Azeri, Sorani Kurdish -both spoken by millions- and also Arabic and Baluch ? Why ? To convey news of resistance deeds from one part of Iran to another
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China's Defense Minister Wei Fenghe was previously in charge of the nuclear forces (which induce caution) and is very bright (as I discovered over a leisurely Makati dinner). One must hope that he can restrain the PLA careerists who seek XJP's favor by aggressive words & deeds
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Yes , for a long time the PLA was content with a "finite deterrence" force with a fraction of the deliverable warheads that the US and Russia still deployed. But now the number of Chinese ballistic missiles is increasing
At a Munich Security Conference 3 years ago US & Russian delegates were at each other’s throats. When audience looked at Chinese delegate, a woman general, she said, “Don’t look at me. China has no more than 60 nukes. We’re quite happy with that.” Impressive presence.
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Am sorry that our Saudi friends are pressing for oil production cuts when US allies need more oil. Yes the Biden Administration early on failed to defend Saudi Arabia when attacked by Iran's proxies, violating the pact . But it corrected the error. The KSA should not violate it
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Unless Putin retreats from the war --and the recall of more reservists indicates the opposite--Russian forces in the field must do more than just stand to take casualties, or retreat to again take casualties. Will there be a counter-offensive ? unherd.com/2022/11/why-russi…
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NATO Intelligence officials also believe that Putin does not intend to withdraw from the war, that he still wants to redeem eight months of failures with a large-scale counter-offensive, not to push back the Ukrainians (too hard) but to outmaneuver Kiev by descending from Belarus
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Many delight in denouncing "anti-semitism" yet refuse to act to punish individual anti-semites. The Jews who run the TV program in which a comic called Chapelle incited a professional pogrom against Jews in "Hollywood" have apparently not fired him. No excuses for their cowardice
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Should be so but it is not, yet. Ascending standards in China --propelled by government and faculty ambitions--have yet to exceed descending standards in the US, depressed by upstart clerks ("Deans") at war with scholarship & academic standards in the name of diversity.
Replying to @ELuttwak
A Chinese student going to the woke states of America to learn science makes about as much sense as an aspiring French chef going to Poland to learn to cook.
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David Ignatius Washington Post Nov 20 "the Biden administration is accomodating Mohammed [bin Salman] for reasons of realpolitik" . But that word does not connote some wierd Germanic perversity but rather the pursuit of national interests, which is the duty of any Adminidtration.
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