The Harris/2024 stories underscore that this is the first time in 40 years there's been a real chance a president would decline to seek re-election. An NBC report from the last time, early '83, when there was "a growing opinion in Washington that Mr. Reagan will not run again":

3:55 PM Β· Nov 15, 2021

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Back then, it was thought that VP George H.W. Bush would have a leg up if Reagan declined to run but would not have a clear field on the GOP side. A February '83 poll found Bush the first choice of 23% of R's in a non-Reagan race, just 3 points ahead of Howard Baker:
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Of course, Reagan ended up running and winning a 49-state landslide, and his '82-'83 political vulnerability -- which was very real, thanks to a recession and questions about his age -- is largely lost to history
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Proved everyone wrong too!
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
And then he ran again. Thus only proving that the media has been engaging in baseless speculation and nonsense drama for over 40 years.
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Last I checked it is 2021. Why is this even being discussed now?
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Circular thinking. Journalists are creating the stories.
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Of note, you’re looking at early β€˜83 coverage and not late β€˜81 at ~300 days after Reagan took office. Can you explain why broad swaths of the media are talking 2024 presidential elections right now, 10 months into Biden’s presidency? The timing’s off & it’s awfully hive-mindy.
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