The Harris/2024 stories underscore that this is the first time in 40 years there's been a real chance a president would decline to seek re-election. An NBC report from the last time, early '83, when there was "a growing opinion in Washington that Mr. Reagan will not run again":
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Back then, it was thought that VP George H.W. Bush would have a leg up if Reagan declined to run but would not have a clear field on the GOP side. A February '83 poll found Bush the first choice of 23% of R's in a non-Reagan race, just 3 points ahead of Howard Baker:
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Of course, Reagan ended up running and winning a 49-state landslide, and his '82-'83 political vulnerability -- which was very real, thanks to a recession and questions about his age -- is largely lost to history

Nov 15, 2021 路 4:03 PM UTC

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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Which we will probably see with Biden too. After all his policies are implemented, he will be very popular.
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Oh, those of us around remember. Should've been focusing on his mental decline as well.
Replying to @SteveKornacki
There will probably be a economic downturn during this Presidency. It鈥檚 always a windfall to get it out of the way early.
Replying to @SteveKornacki
Wow Steve, do better, stop making noise. It is way too early for any speculation. #ClickBait
Replying to @SteveKornacki
"His vulnerability was very real, despite winning a landslide 49 states in re-election the next year! Definitely not baseless media speculation proven false!" Do you even read what you write??
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Replying to @SteveKornacki
Too bad for anyone not rich.