Like most countries, NZ's plan was to gradually tighten controls as virus gained momentum. Then doctors saw WHO's Feb China report & said “we should do it in the reverse order & throw everything at the pandemic at the start”#CrushTheCurve ht @yaneerbaryam newscientist.com/article/224…
Replying to @70sBachchan
How New Zealand got rid of coronavirus: Border control + #TestTraceIsolate + financial support. No #FlattenTheCurve defeatism if govts & citizens work together (NZ's Ardern modeled elimination strategy on S Korea,Taiwan success ourworldindata.org/covid-exe…) nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
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2:40 PM · Aug 8, 2020

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NZ #CrushTheCurve 1. Border controls & hotel quarantine of travellers to stop Covid from entering 2. Lockdown & physical distancing to stop community transmission 3. Using time gained by 1&2 to build #TestTraceIsolate state capacity & keep cases down nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/artic…
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New Zealand mitigated the economic ill-effects of elimination lockdown with $13 billion of income support (~$600 per person per week) & helped ppl in distress with social support. nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
Replying to @yaneerbaryam
Others thought that locking down the country would lead to mass unemployment, poverty and suicide, which would outweigh the benefits of containing the virus. 5/
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US: Cardboard cutouts watching baseball game under a blood orange sky New Zealand: ⬇️ nitter.fdn.fr/kevpluck/status/… Daily life in NZ, Vietnam, China has largely returned to normal. At what point will we learn from their playbook? ht @devisridhar theguardian.com/commentisfre…
Kiwis flexing by watching rugby in person
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Jacinda Ardern's Labour party wins in a landslide. In her first term, she led New Zealand through a major terrorist attack, deadly volcanic eruption & mobilized all of society against the virus. Hope her 2nd term has less drama! bbc.com/news/world-asia-5451…
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Australia, like New Zealand, borrowed the E Asian #StampItOut & not defeatist #FlattenTheCurve. Mass efficient testing, contact tracing & travel restrictions. Little wonder that unlike Europe & N America, public trust in govt has nearly doubled!
Proud to be Australian and in awe about “the phenomenal success Australia has had in suppressing the virus”, as the FT reports today. It’s just a pity similar positive examples in Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea & Vietnam were largely ignored for so long (including in Australia).
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"I don't think it would have been possible for the rest of the West to mimic the Australian experience, coz their Confucian values & authoritarian social system are too alien for us to contemplate"-@Birdyword Satire aside,heres how abc.net.au/news/2020-10-29/c…
This is exactly right. Countries with high cohesion, with strong sense of community and interpersonal ethical obligation, have managed Covid-19 well; Japan, S Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, other Confucian societies are all examples. One metric of cohesion is willingness to wear masks.
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"Melbourne's coronavirus second wave seemed impossible to defeat. Our modelling showed exactly how to do it" abc.net.au/news/2020-10-29/c… At Covid Zero, 3 months later, a hard fought victory of State+Society+Science. What compassionate leadership sounds like⬇️ premier.vic.gov.au/statement…
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The search for cultural explanations for Australia/NZ covid win is funny - Aussies are obedient & follow rules. It comes from their penal colony origins. Aussies live in an unforgiving environment & respect Nature's fury. Dunno maybe do things like E Asia?
Replying to @70sBachchan
Rest of World ignoring E Asian expertise that figured out strategy by Feb has been insane: Mask-up! Aerosol transmission & indoor infections! Avoid superspreading by avoiding 3C's! Give ppl a hotel to isolate! Restrict travel so you localise virus! Do that, not "Confucian" bs
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Confucian collectivist Antipodeans living in their virus-repelling arid climate ruled by authoritarian govts that tests them & separates them from their families. Then puts them up in comfy hotels while paying them $1100. theguardian.com/world/2020/a…
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Decisive action? Society working together with politicians and experts to sacrifice for their collective good and emerge victorious? Nah mate, must be the genetics. Or confucianism. Probably confucianism.
If you’re wondering what life is like in Australia... pretty much back to normal. Thanks to decisive action, lockdowns, mandatory international quarantine, and stringent contact tracing, the current number of active cases in the whole country (pop. 25 million)? 47.
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13/ Scientific expertise+ldrshp played role in countries choosing strategy early (#CrushTheCurve elimination instead of #FlattenTheCurve). 2ndly ability of state & society to actually *do* #TestTraceIsolate actions required, see thread for what went wrong
Corona Scandals: Bungled tests Delayed lockdowns Travel from hotspots (Europe,NYC) seeding outbreaks No Corona Hotels CDC Mask snafu PPE shortages & black markets Nursing home neglect Hospital mis-mgmt Meatpacking/Prisons clusters Any others we are missing? ht @interfluidity 1/
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14/ If you bring down the Hammer, then you get to Dance. What #CrushTheCurve in the winter now looks like in Australian summer. @tomaspueyo tomaspueyo.medium.com/corona…
This is happening in my city here in Australia right now in December 2020. Post-covid festivals are here. We haven’t had a case of covid in the community for over 8 months. Life is back to normal thanks to everyone doing the right thing! 👍
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15/ An asymmetry: Media only reports on outbreaks that get millions of clicks, & gets ppl fatalistic about uncontrollable virus. Then Radio Silence on success in controlling them. This thread has eg. of states & societies #TestTraceIsolate working together
Replying to @70sBachchan
Australia, a country serious about eliminating virus responds to a new wave of infections in Melbourne with stay-at-home orders & testing & contact-tracing like mad to find & isolate How many? 921 in 7 days And mature political leadership response (right) theguardian.com/australia-ne…
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16/ Excellent summary of what more successful countries like NZ/Aus etc have *done* & how they designed Coronavirus response strategy. ht @yaneerbaryam who has argued for Suppression #TestTraceIsolate & travel restriction strategy since January.@EndCOVID19 endcoronavirus.org/papers/co…
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17/ Funniest part was a reminder that it was common sense in January that E Asia would do the worst w pandemic. The writer wanted to flee "Taiwan [that] was set to again become a viral hotspot while New York 8,000 miles away would surely be a safer bet." bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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18/ Why #CrushTheCurve was superior to #FlattenTheCurve. "As Americans refuse the most basic of precautions under the pretense of freedom, Taiwan know what real freedom looks like: The ability to have a drink at a bar without fear" bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Replying to @bopinion
In the past few months @tculpan has: 🏃🏻‍♂️Joined music festivals and marathons 🏊🏼‍♂️Swum in public pools 🏋🏻‍♂️Worked out at the gym 🍻Had drinks at packed bars 🍽Attended banquet dinners trib.al/CdXi0Tc
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9/ Covid cases are at their highest point in last 15 months. More ppl might die in 2021 than 2020. While daily life in New Zealand, Vietnam, China has largely returned to normal. At what point will we learn from #ZeroCovid playbook? #TestTraceIsolate theguardian.com/commentisfre…
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21/ Can Sydney keep MUCH more infections Delta from spreading? It facing a big Delta outbreak and army called in to enforce quarantines. Sharp #TestTraceisolate action by Victoria & Queensland kept down Delta after airborne spread lapse in hotel quarantine dw.com/en/coronavirus-digest…
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22/ Why is Australia abandoning "pay people to stay home" model?? Zero-covid policy was to pay people $550 per week (parents given an additional $200) and poverty rates dropped as ppl got medical care & food In 2nd wave? All cut back.Guarantees explosion hellocare.com.au/australia-w…
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23/ Are you fucking kidding me Australia ? First the govt stopped paying people $550 per week to stay home, and now the police in Melbourne is literally shooting rubber bullets to enforce #ZeroCovid? #VicPoliceViolence
“Two weeks to flatten the curve.”
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24/ New Zealand mitigated economic ill-effects of zero covid w $13 billion of income support (~$600 per person/week) & helped ppl in distress with social support. Vaccinations started few months ago Just 28 people have died of covid nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
NEW - New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, when asked by a reporter if she was creating two classes of people, with the vaccinated receiving special privileges, confirmed, "That is what it is, yep".
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