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Rio de Janeiro, Brasil
Joined July 2016
🧵Why not only Leopards, but also Abrams, Leclerc and Challenger 2? The world mil expenditure is around $2.1 Tri yearly. UKR war is also a opportunity to show new EQUIPMENTS, and push the competitors to expose their equipments under a negative propaganda sipri.org/publications/2019/…
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This is a disproportional war and everyone knew that since the beginning. Ukraine is doing a amazing job. At this stage Ukraine is getting trained troops while Russia lost largely its special units. A hard fight for russians. War will be long, but every ukrainian must be proud.
Time to leave Bakhmut! Ukrainian trops are under heavy shelling from the Donbas mountains Day/Night. It's impossible to keep Bakhmut without hold huge loss. Ukraine need to push the fight to Flatlands where it's IFVs and light tanks can do as they did on Kherson region.
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Where are the Russian top weapons? 1 - Tornado S 2 - Tornado U 3 - Koalitsiya-SV 4 - Armata T14 I didn't see any of them. I know they exist, but probably only few units as exposition for exportation. RU must remember that propaganda don't fire, don't advance, don't gain land.
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Or they are avoiding the use at this moment and planning a long war. What is improbable at my opinion since they have to show power and Force the western to give up about Ukraine. The third hypothesis is don't let their tech fail on Nato hands, what I don't believe.
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This Pantisir on the roof of defense Min Haven't any utility. There are many others higher buildings around. But why did the russians put it there without change on camouflage? They want to scare the people. Putin know that if his people be afraid, his support rise. Psycho Ops!
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🧵Ukrainian war: What would be an escalation? Putin already said that he will win despite economic or human loses. Using these words He already escalated the war. It's something like: I will use all my army, all my money and whatever necessary. klymenko-time.com/en/novosti…
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What would be an escalation from allies? Send heavy weapons? just an excuse. They can send everything, since they don't send directly their troops. IF a conflict of heavy weapons is an escalation, the only way to avoid an escalation is give up about Ukraine. It's not an option.
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The war is already escalated from Russian side. Western have to decide if they want to win or just to corrode the Russian reputation and power. To win, are necessaries more $200bi and stop the speech about escalation. To lose, but corrode Putin is necessary keep the actual job.
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Looool. I didn't know about this roub. Really crazy regime.
In the 1970s, North Korea ordered 1,000 Volvo cars from Sweden. The cars were shipped & delivered but North Korea just didn't bother paying & ignored the invoice. Till this day the bill remains unpaid making it the largest car theft in history.
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Large Russian offensive on Donbas while Ukraine answer attacking Bolgorod from air.
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🧵Can the F-16 be a game changer for Ukraine? Absolutely no. We are again diving into months of talks while the russians plan a large offensive. During the last 10 months, the Ukrainian air force got near 130 aircrafts, between Mig-29, Su-24 and Su-25, specially in spare parts.
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The US gave almost 30 Migs, as did Poland, sending around others 29. More came from Bulgaria, Slovakia, Georgia and others. And lots of spare parts from allies like Germany. On a battlefield satured by anti air systems and Manpads, the aircrafts have days or few weeks of life
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Russia lost more than $2 billions in aircrafts. Equally their aircrafts have days of life or few weeks. The RAF still has more than 500 aircrafts and can't employ its force without heavy loss. Definitely this theater isn't for a massive use of aircrafts.
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Ukrisnain airforce is using roads to operate its aircrafts. The Migs are able to operate even on unpavemented roads. Flying low, Ukraine was able to operate missions during the war, but with significant loses. Will this change with F-16? Absolutely no. Only become more expensive
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The F16 cost the equivalent to 10 Mig-29 or 7 Su24-25. But why the rumours about the F16? Why deny? Let the enemy breath the rumours. Few F16 are the equivalent to more than one hundred of Balistic/GLSBDs in $$$. What would be extremely useful for Ukraine at this moment.
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Can the F-16 be useful? Yes, of course. But considering the cost, time and employability, the choice would be the missiles. The Time is short, this can't be forgotten. Ukraine can't wast months talking about aircrafts as did about Tanks.
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An interesting and true point about the future of uniforms.
Replying to @nicholadrummond
Ultimately, armies will soon wear "chameleon suits" that truly blend into the background with identification achieved through electronic tags that mark a soldier as one of your own, so camouflage patterns as we know them today may become irrelevant, but... 9/
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He is absolutely right. The loses to hold the russian advance were high. Nobody know the russian as the ukrainians. He knows what is coming. He got some IFVs and Tanks, but the main gap are the artilleries. This must be solved, but how? I don't see other way than missile systems.
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🧵The new Tanks aren't a game change. For a battlefield as we are watching in Ukr, every tank is vulnerable, but the new ones are harder to hit and will stay fighting for longer. Both sides are full of Manpads and the War is about who can keep replacing loses faster and longer.
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RU already have its industries at war mode and the western built a large production belt for Ukr. I don't underestimate the RU production. Never. But war is money and theorically west has it. This is a war of more $200bi for who wanna win. All the rest is feed for cheerleaders.
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