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alex @stocksnhistory

Semi experienced trader, specializing in SPAC’s, GameStop call options, dodgecoin, and shares of companies going thru bankruptcy.

Joined September 2020
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One of the most common and shocking lessons of history is that basically every special interest group is capable and willing to destroy their country/society to make their lives a little better. Always important to remember.
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An exceptional example is all the Roman emperors who were either deposed or faced a usurper/revolt due to some necessary reform being made that made life a little worse for the army or some other specific group of the population
I’d say the best thing to make capitalism better would be to stop the inevitable decline that occurs when a company becomes investor/shareholder owned. Can’t think of a single company I’ve dealt with or really known that didn’t get significantly worse after being investor owned
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The profit motive is absolutely great, it’s just that when that becomes the only metric, and CEO’s get too much SBC you get issues like leveraged buybacks or too much fiscal optimization where redundancy and saftey is needed. See Southwest Airlines or the rail roads
Who TF writes Biden’s speeches. Watched the first 3 mins of the State of the Union and I hear “we passed the most significant law ever, one that protects veterans from toxic burn pits”. There was a law/amendment passed that banned slavery man. I could write better for way less
Edward Gibbon’s Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire is hands down the best literary accompaniment in the history of the human race. Written in the time of the American Revolution it still beats any other literature on Rome and probably any study of any historical event ever
While Western Europeans typically have a higher tax rate, the amount countries like Germany spend on Social services seems to be less than the US when pop adjusted. The amount we spend on social security, Medicare/Cade and other programs is crazy for what we actually get
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Somehow the US actually spends more money per capita on stuff like this than some countries with privatized healthcare, better saftey nets + benefits and government subsidized higher education. Where the hell does this money go?
The openAI thing is definitely overhyped. It’s impressive and all but it didn’t ruin college essays or creative writing. Maybe if your writing was based on a cursory glance of a Wikipedia page and you were incapable of answering a question that requires some subjectivity
Elon is being a jackass, but Tesla shareholders are just salty they didn’t sell when the company had a $1.2T market cap. Idk how anyone would have thought there was even a sliver of runway left for the stock at that point, especially with a hawkish fed.
I’ve only been hardcore paying attention to financial markets since like 2019, was only paying minor attention before that. Have studied a bit tho. Would love to hear input on someone who’s been around regarding if mkts have ever been this dependent on fed input
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It’s just crazy to me that there’s been multiple times in the last year or two where markets have tanked on good economic news because of the implications of possible hawkish action by the fed on account of good economic news. Doesn’t seem like an efficient or rational market
One thing I’ve never understood is why suites of armor stopped being used in the line infantry and napoleonic era, it had a decent chance of stopping a smooth bore shot. It’s expensive to equip but at least the grenadiers could have worn it and been effective shock troops.
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Maybe an optimized shot could break thru, but plenty of shots were under powdered or spent velocity wise by impact (like Murat taking a shot to the forehead in Egypt). And in a bayonet charge an armored unit would be unstoppable.
This new map is probably my favorite possession right now. Maybe I just play too much EU4, but this is a masterpiece.
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So I guess $dwac (the truth social SPAC) is almost guaranteed to go down 50% or more next week. If Trump goes back to Twitter that garbage app loses it's only calling card
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I honestly like the idea of Bitcoin. Not as replacing fiat but as a store of value and resource for unbanked people in the third world and such. But w/ exponential advances in quantum computing I don’t see how the encryption can possible hold up for even a decade.
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idk why this is so discounted and rarely discussed. Even the people who love to hate on it don’t often make the point. If the encryption has a <10-20 year life span it really nullifies the buy and hold thesis.
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It’s crazy that people are surprised all these companies in the crypto space were scams when they were blatantly advertising “basically risk free” opportunities to get a 8%-20%+ yield on your account/coins.
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Well actually it’s one $650m loan at 0.75%, one $500m at 6.15%, a $200m loan at at least 3.75% (floating 30 day rate + 2% with 3.75% floor), another $11m at 5.2%. Plus I think one more interest bearing loan. Still it’s $44m to service which is more than they ever make in a year
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