Complex Systems Physicist | President of @NECSI | Studying pandemics since 2005 | For progressive elimination worldhealthnetwork.global

Joined February 2011
I have been working on pandemic outbreaks for 15 years. There is a misunderstanding of the difference between the response in much of the West, versus successful countries (including New Zealand and Australia). Summarizing: 1.Reactive versus proactive and goal oriented. 1/-
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Super rapid growth of Omicron in Gauteng, South Africa. Who has the log plot to compare the exponents?
FASTEST SURGE TO DATE—The #OmicronVarient is up swinging much faster in both new daily cases and positivity, than all previous waves in South Africa 🇿🇦, according to @nicd_sa data illustrated by @jburnmurdoch. This supports the faster transmission theory of #Omicron. 🧵
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More bad news on omicron transmission. What should we estimate vaccine efficacy based on this real world experiment?
This looks bad - In Norway there is a suspected omicron outbreak of 40-50 out of 120 fully vaccinated people, ( also tested negative before attending a company Christmas party last Friday… One employee had just returned from SA and tested positive. dagbladet.no/nyheter/var-pa-…
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It’s Me Again. Now I’m Called Omicron via @TheTyee I’ve travelled the world for two years and made great connections. Change is good! 1/ thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/11/…
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"You probably thought that I was finishing up. Or took a long vacation to drink mojitos. No such luck. Last year, when I invited you, my good hosts, to meet my blessed variants, I smiled broadly at your puzzlement and shock. 2/
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"So here I am again. Your favorite evolutionary anarchist. Changed, and ever changing. "And now a “variant of concern” with your new Transformer toy-like name Omicron, with, count them, 50 mutations and possibilities you cannot yet fathom. 3/
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"My blessed relative Delta had but 20 changes. And neither of us are Greek, but that joke is on you. Did you know there are 24 characters in the Greek alphabet? We’re getting pretty far along, aren’t we? 4/
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"Let me, the undead, now be serious for a moment. "The longer you allow me to persist, the more opportunities I will find to improve my fitness. "And to my eternal delight, you continue to embolden me with abandon. 5/
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"Fewer than 10 per cent of the peoples of Africa have been vaccinated. Only 46 per cent in the Middle East. And so on. "Even a modest virus knows that such inequity will always have biological consequences and provide more breeding ground for more blessed variants. 6/
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It is possible to stop Omicron, but not this way.
In Denmark, a person later confirmed to be infected with #Omicron attended a concert on Saturday. NO masks. 2000 people mingling. They’ve been asked to get tested on day 4 and 6, but NOT to isolate. Why doesn’t 🇩🇰 take serious preventative measures against the #OmicronVariant?
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"In France, we must put an end to the myth of the child being unaffected by Covid-19 A group asks that children not become the guinea pigs of an improbable quest of natural immunity, by spreading the virus in the youngest.
📢Nous signons cette tribune pour dénoncer la stratégie de minimisation des impacts du #Covid19 sur les #enfants qui conduit certaines sociétés savantes à la proposition aberrante de l'immunité par infection, déjà condamné par l'OMS #ProtegezNosEnfants lexpress.fr/actualite/idees-…
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Germany reports highest daily COVID death toll since Feb. "highest level of coronavirus fatalities in 9 months ... intensive care cases could soon exceed those at last winter's peak...authorities grapple with the implications of the new omicron vriant. p.dw.com/p/43h2Y?maca=en-Twi…
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A traveler to Japan arriving from Peru tests positive for Omicron and is in quarantine at a medical facility. Still no community transmission in Japan. Airlines told to stop new reservations. Japan confirms 2nd case of Omicron coronavirus variant mainichi.jp/english/articles…
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*Thread* I had to take a break from here to care for my medically vulnerable children, who have various new health issues the last few mths. Sadly, 2 of them now have Covid and have been very unwell ☹️ My husband has no symptoms, but myself & other two kids now have symptoms 1/
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Japan reported 73 and 78 new cases in last two days (61 and 76 according to this dashboard corona.go.jp/en/dashboard/ ) With 0.6 cases per million Japan could stop them completely to open normally. Border control is in place now.
Traveler tested positive at the airport. No known domestic transmission in Japan. 1/ Japan confirms first case of new coronavirus variant a.msn.com/01/en-us/AARhYFb?o…
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Action: Eight is not yet a lot. "France's Health Ministry said on Sunday it had detected eight possible cases of the Omicron COVID-19 variant across the country after the government announced it would tighten restrictions to contain its spread. reuters.com/world/europe/omi…
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"Germany’s national and state leaders will decide Thursday on new measures to tackle a sharp rise in coronavirus infections. "Many states have tightened rules...but experts and politicians have called for more coordinated national action.. apnews.com/article/coronavir…
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